Africa Copper’s $90 Million | Miner Or Media? | Wealth ‘Goddess’

Ivanhoe’s Copper Exploration In Congo Propels Shares
 
Ivanhoe Mines shares continued a one-month (20%) gain in share value to $15 billion.
 
Attention to the Africa copper miner’s expanding sedimentary discoveries in DRC Congo also boosted traffic in IVN IVPAF shares, which are about 10% below an all-time perch.
Screen Shot 2023-12-08 at 11.59.54 AM.png
One month of IVPAF shares movement, with ascending daily volumes
Regarding generational leaders
such as Ivanhoe Mines:
"When the Goddess of Wealth 
comes to give you her blessing, 
you should not leave the room 
to wash your face." *

Fresh copper money sought: a Dow Jones / Wall Street Journal report from Ottawa about Ivanhoe Mines‘  copper discovery west of its Kamoa-Kakula mine in DRC Congo‘s portion of the Central African Copper Belt. Here please.

Screen Shot 2023-12-08 at 9.04.44 AM.pngAn earlier statement from Ivanhoe describes the two separate sedimentary “horizons” that the Western Foreland site, called Kitoko, (pictured here) that could propel Kamoa-Kakula and the new discovery into the world’s largest source of mineable copper.

Kamoa-Kakula’s weekly run rate of approx. 10,000 metric tons of copper output marks Ivanhoe as on track to become No. 4 among the largest copper miners.

Western Foreland Exploration

See: Ivanhoe Mines Ramps 2024 Exploration Budget to $90 Million

This week, I added yet more IVN IVPAF to the 20-year and one month pile (we started accumulating the original Ivanplats Africa in November 2003 when it was private, and we have yet “to leave the room”). *

Ivanhoe Mines is our largest resources stake.

Also, see a report via Africa’s Jason Mitchell about DRC Congo’s active copper and cobalt mines, and a look at coltan and lithium deposits.

Screen Shot 2023-12-08 at 12.08.39 PM.png

Mexico: Simon Catt in London runs with a partner ARLINGTON Group

Simon and I spent time two weeks ago discussing metals — at his and his wife Lisa’s new, Conde Nast-preferred Villa Porto Rapallo on the Italian “Riviera,” just a hike from Portofino. {I look to return with my family in April after a Zürich metals conference. Join us? È favoloso.

His take as of right now on the swings in metals shares: “The leadership of the Fabulous Seven will rotate in 2024 to the pariahs of this year and others. Banks, China, Japan, energy and materials will lead the way.”

Yet to come for metals: “media attention … so private investors will move first.” [See SPOT below please.]

Simon recently started buying a uranium company (Wyoming) featured here.

“The past fortnight we are seeing stranded assets and mining deals start moving for the first time in six months. We hear that Canada’s highest profile precious metal investor, Eric Sprott, is back buying Canada gold assets.”

As for uranium: Aussie uranium developer Boss Energy just raised A$200 million after an 80% price move in 2023, Simon indicates. “We are buying Tier One Canada lithium-co Frontier Lithium, which has completely missed the Aussie hard rock excitement exemplified best by Wildcat Resources. Year to date, Wildcat is up 2,700% compared to a 65% fall for Frontier. Wildcat is capitalised at 5X Frontier with no resource expected until mid-24. Frontier has +60 million metric tons of high grade 1.5% lithium.”

Simon Catt in Rapallo
The BIG TRADE for 2024? “Precious metals. The most controversial precious trade is Mexico, the world’s largest silver producer. Look at the torque in Discovery Silver (DSV), up almost 30% off its lows briefly last week. It’s wake-up time for precious metals.”

 

Don’t think I ever have heard Simon, essentially a deal-seeker for Arlington and a sound metals investor, sound that strident — not in the past 6 years. He is originally from Perth, western Australia, with deep banking roots in U.K. and in Italia.

The U.S. employment report Friday

 

was supposed to influence investors who jockey interest rate concerns with recession jitters and their influence on stock, bond, currency, housing, and (FOR OUR PURPOSES), metals markets.

Maybe it did — sway investors.

The report and its indication of rising American wages sent interest rates higher and metals prices lower. See gold price please.

Also this: https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/jobs-report-for-november-live-coverage-of-pivotal-payrolls-data-after-recent-bond-market-rally?

Here is a jobs dynamic worth a scan: Unemployment rates bear watching.

[See below for a confirming chart of gold’s “golden cross.” Any perception that global central banks’ interest rate schemes are gearing for a 2024 tumble will send gold (and silver, platinum, copper) prices to all-time highs.

Well, not copper just yet. [More below.]

I added yet more shares to our holdings of a couple of gold producers whose shares gain twice as much as their peers when gold swings higher, and fall twice as much, as is the case Friday Dec. 8, 2023, after the jobs numbers boosted interest rates: Alamos Gold AGI and Victoria Gold VGCX VITFF. Please see previous coverage of these two in your The Calandra Report/TCR. 

Golden Cross portends further gains, technician Al Marden tells me. Note a real golden cross with both the 50 and 200 DMA moving up.

Thank you to European strategist Florian Grummes, whose 30-minute tutorial three weeks ago in Zürich fortified my decades-long belief in Alamos and half-decade buying of Victoria Gold.

 Oh, the copper price outlook? Patience. Another chart from Al Marden is here somewhere. Technicians, by the way, tend to eat their cake and hoard it, too. Lots of “if this, then that.”

 

With Al and his intensive charting (and remember, I am not a technical-bound investor), I get the heads-up and private commentary to fortify my sometimes rash investing decisions.

 

DHT Maritime: the shipping scenario for VLCCs with lower oil prices? It’s a positive for those who decide to replace or replenish their oil stocks. Specifically, DHT Maritime Holdings DHT, one of our best yielding investments of the past two years, is looking at lease rates that are holding above $50,000 a day.
Copper will do well Friday with a U.S. jobs report-inspired, further decline in global interest rates.

 

Avraam Gabrielidis in Greece: “Usually the lower oil prices (especially in winter period) favor higher VLCC rates — everyone is happy to replace their oil stock at lower prices,” he says. VLCCs are very large crude carriers. Rates right noe are between $54,000-57,000 per day, and that is  3%-7% higher compared with last year at this time.

 

Directors Without Stock? Hmmm, here please. Or not here, as the case might be.
EarthLabs SPOFF SPOT, once a predictive geo-modeler, hopes to benefit from media ownership of CEO.ca and The Northern Miner as fresh faces turn their attention to mining investments. We’ve been discussing the Toronto-Montreal company, which also owns a Newfoundland swath of potential mine royalties, other in Nevada and elsewhere.
The developing merchant bank (it owns investments in miners) just unveiled a stock-picking contest at CEO.ca; the list already runs off the page — subscribers, that is, to the contest. I have yet to purchase shares but am keeping track of developments. See: previous SPOT mentions at The Calandra Report/TCR. It’s said to be selling at half its net asset value, and at least one of the net smelter return royalties is said to be worth three-quarters of EarthLabs’ market value.

 

— Thom Calandra

 

Thom Calandra ​is a ​writer and an investor. Research and material are meant as editorial opinion.​ He is not a professional investment adviser. Please do not consider his reporting as a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

 

 

— Thom Calandra