Crude Formula: ‘Valuing Gold In Barrels’

‘Departing Our Dollar World’

 

مغادرة عالم الدولار: Almughadara Ealam Alduwlar

 

TCRs, briefly, this is how gold‘s 12-day (week, year) rise to its highest non-inflation-adjusted price ever Friday, $2,350 USD an ounce, foreshadows linkage to oil barrels and non-USD currencies.

Gold is no longer driven by the dollar or the dollar world.

I relied on for this 
on Jim Anthony,  
investment strategist and for 
21-years, chairman and 
co-founder of Seabridge Gold SA SEA; 
Chris Powell, co-founder 
of Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee GATA; 
London investment banker Simon Catt;
fund manager and reciprocal-gold-theory  
strategist Peter Palmedo; others.

Also: trading notes below.
-- Thom Calandra
11-Nation Pact — You Get Oil, Gold, Yuan, Rubles, Real, Riyal … But No USD Credit: Reuters
First off, recall, TCRs, that so-called BRICS newbies include Saudi Arabia, UAE, Argentina, Egypt, Iran and Ethiopia. Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa are founding members.
Trading pacts among these oil and gold-producing and hoarding nations almost surely look to use oil and gold as currencies, along with their own local paper: rand, yuan, real, rubles, riyal, etc.


Points: 

Did you know the inflation-adjusted high for gold is approx. $3,000 USD, set around 1980 or ’81?

— Or that much of what we see as the gold price is a paper tiger? Just 1% of futures contract gold on NYMEX is actually delivered. Try buying an ounce of gold for those prices; you will pay 5% to 8% more, likely.

—  Is that inflation metric relevant in the ongoing up-cycle for gold, other metals? Gold = purchasing power, as we know. Jim Anthony, whose analyses can be seen real time at Seabridge Gold‘s Gold Investor Feed, tells me today, “Gold is no longer driven by the dollar or the dollar world. The BRICS appear to be valuing gold in terms of oil. China’s gold market is always trading at a premium to NYC and London and that’s where the refiners are sending their product. To China. So inflation dynamics in the U.S. may net be relevant any more.”

BRICS‘ goals, we also know, point to 2030, according to news reports from the August BRICS Summit. Thus, trade deals that abandon USD over time “could see a paradigm shift in the coming years as BRICS.” We could be seeing oil right now being exchanged for gold (or vice-versa) in Russia, India, Egypt, Ethiopia, etc.

Some more pondering — which by the way will not help your investing decisions unless you are, as I am, owning gold (and platinum, silver, etc) PHYSICALLY and have been since 1999. See trading note below please. (FYI, I purchase mining equities, coins, bullion, ETCs and ETFs when they fall, not when they swell. Right now, I am looking at anything that has not joined the commodities rally.)

Chris Powell of GATA stacks a robusto dispatch feed at GATA.org. He tells me just now:
A Gata Dispatch
“I think, the dollar is being murdered by its own government through overissuance, spectacular and still-growing indebtedness, and political weaponization.”

Russia, China and other central bankers “are aware of the un-coverable short position the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve have been running in gold for decades,” Chris says. “Payback is unpleasant.”

 

Jim Anthony, along with his Seabridge Gold co-founder Rudi Fronk, have been feeding their gold-analysis feeds for 22 years: “We may be entering a quantity world as we leave the dollar world. Oil is measured in barrels and gold is measured in weight. Russia is reportedly taking back some gold from China for its oil without a dollar reference. Which is what the oil exporters always wanted back in the early 70s when Henry Kissinger and Sheik Yamani decided they would make the dollar as good as gold for oil (then-U.S. President Richard Nixon’s 1971 scrapping of the gold standard for a cross-currency trade that favored USD).”  The Case For Gold –here please.

 

Coming: Simon Catt will host “Gold: Is this the real thing?”

Zoom Webinar April 17 at 11 a.m.Eastern Time — with Pierre Lassonde, Eric Sprott, Luke Gromen and others. Details soon.

Yukon Night Sky Courtesy Victoria Gold/Eagle Gold Mine

Trading Note [updated April 5, 2024]: This week, including today, I bought more Banyan Gold BYN; Elemental-Altus Royalties ELE; EMX Royalty EMX. I sold approx. $2,200 of Ivanhoe Electric IE  and enCore Energy EU in the current copper-gold-silver rally to pay property taxes and to diversify and-or fortify existing stakes. I am looking at anything in our The Calandra Report history that is genuine, proven, known personally, visited and still 40% or more undervalued; including of course Xtra-Gold Resources XTG in Ghana, and the three mentioned here; several others. Uranium-cos, too.

Ideas? Ping me please.

 

 

— Thom Calandra

PayPal $229 Yearly Non-Recurring The Calandra Report

Thom Calandra ​is a ​writer and an investor. Research and material are meant as editorial opinion.​ He is not a professional investment adviser. Please do not consider his reporting as a recommendation to buy or sell securities.