Reciprocating Profits | Copper & Ivanhoe | Good Gold Week

Zijin Mining | Reciprocating Markets | Alamos Outpacing

[Thom Calandra's Notes At Close Of Report --  
sharp metals rallies this week, TCRs. New highs
for spot and futures contract gold. 
Updated Sept. 20, 2024]

Zijin is piling up gold profits — with copper profits taking a larger and larger piece of the pie.

 

Zijin deputy president Shaoyang Shen 

Zijin’s Shaoyang Shen at Denver Gold Group’s Forum

says Zijin has 30 or more mines in 16 countries.

 

Yet copper has become more important to group performance, comprising 47% of the 2023 gross profit of US$6.6 billion. Copper, the active futures, this week closing Sept. 20 rose to $4.33 a pound from $4.21 at the week’s start.

 

Gold, this week rising to new highs in futures and spot prices,  accounted for a quarter of the Zijin profit.

 

TCRs,  Denver Gold Group’s reporting this week at its Colorado Springs’ Americas ForumKristie Batten for DGG is snapshotting major metals producers at Mining Forum Live.

“The headlines are forcing people to pay attention and look at metals and that could mean the tactical money, the hedge fund money, the fast money, is beginning to come in, as well as some retail money.” — Wasif Latif via Americas Gold Forum

Also on Kristie’s tag list: Gold Fields. Barrick Gold, AngloGold Ashanti, Agnico-Eagle, Newmont. The Gold Forum feed also has an Australia look at zinc, among other companies, metals and topics. Worth the views.

Wasif Latif, a New Jersey (U.S.) funds manager for Sarmaya Partners, touched on a theme I believe in deeply: reciprocating markets. That is, as the super-performers of the past two decades — Fortune 1000 stocks, at times bonds, technology — wane in price, investors will shift slowly into “tangibles” such as gold, copper, uranium, platinum and so on. Image above.

The yearly Colorado Springs DGG show follows another Colorado conference — Precious Metals Summit (last week).

Americas Gold Forum this week

DGG’s Americas Forum drew 142 companies, many of them metals producers, this year. The webcasts (videos) are here. Worth viewing.

 

DGG’s executive director, Tim Wood, tells me “copper is getting a huge amount of attention via the webcasts. Plenty of generalists here and that is increasingly the case with any mining fund – copper, that is.”

 

Precious Metals Summit, the other Colorado conference this autumn, drew 217 explorers, developers and emerging producers of gold, silver and platinum group metals, Jessica Levental of that group tells me.

 

Alamos Gold: take a look at the 3-year production (2024, 2025, 2026) “guidance” that best-performing Alamos AGI is giving. This says it all: Magino Mine, the Ontario addition, is now a contributor to the multi-mine’s mills.

 

Magino, albeit boosting average operating expenses for an ounce of gold, powers an approx. 20% output guidance gain in both 2025 and 2026. I own AGI and we have regularly reported on Alamos since approx. 2015.

AGI shares are outpacing most mid-sized and reliable gold producers this entire week (updated Friday Sept. 20, 2024) The chart shows AGI, in light blue, rising 14% for the 10 days ended Sept. 20 vs, the GDX Van Eck ETF of major miners,up 10%.

This is Alamos Gold stock vs. the GDX ETF of major miners, 10 days.

 

Copper & Ivanhoe Mines:

Our Las Vegas chartist, Al Marden, sends two updated charts for COPPER and for DRC Congo copper and zinc miner Ivanhoe Mines IVPAF IVN, whose shares Thursday September 19 2024 are nearing fresh highs.
“The copper chart shows a large consolidation in 2021 that eventually broke down … then another (lower) consolidation, mid 2022-early 2024, and then a parabolic move to the $5 a pound area with massive distribution and the beginning of a head-shoulders top.,” Al tells me.

 

“And now, facing a deficit that will be historic in size and a debt load that will continue to grow even with these deeper rate cuts, I think the path ahead for gold, along with silver and mining stocks, will continue to be upward.” — Brien Lundin of Gold Newsletter and the November 22 New Orleans Investment Conference

Our technician, who made money on his options trades (GDXJ) presaged here a week ago, said support for the metal was found around $4 a pound at the 200 daily moving average (give or take) and now a move up to the $4.30 support/resistance area. The active copper futures contract is approx. $4.28 ($4,34 Thursday).

 

Copper and Ivanhoe charts courtesy Al Marden
Ivanhoe IVPAF (USD shares) found support at its 200 DMA $11.50 (give or take) and appears headed to former top levels at $14.50 a share, Al Marden, who is on a roll this month and this past summer 2024, says.

 

Click for larger image please.
New highs for Ivanhoe — our largest nat-resources holding (here at home)?

 

“Well, beyond that it depends on Mr. (Jerome) Powell (and Federal Reserve interest rates Wednesday Sept. 18) and then (the U.S. election) November 5. See charts here.

Notes

TCRs, as you know, my top choices for continued gains among producers are Ivanhoe, Alamos. I bought more of each this week and last.
On a more speculative bend, (and yes, I continue to consolidate/trim  my smaller holdings as I “downsize” my anxiety levels and work on health concerns, including severe weight loss, and as we fund a family trust) — a top choice remains long-held Xtra-Gold Resources XTG XTGRF.
I added more XTG last week to a stake that goes back to 2009.

 

Ping me for Al Marden‘s thoughts on the Ghana (alluvial and profitable) producer-explorer.

 

Today, after hearing from Tara Christie, I bought back at 16 cents USD approx. 10,000 shares of Yukon developer-explorer Banyan Gold BYN BYAGF.

 

Banyan shares suffered with the I believe hasty receivership “whiteout” of sister-co Victoria Gold VGCX this summer. Yukon government’s harsh treatment of Victoria after the June 2024 heap leach failure at Eagle Gold Mine gets the blame.

 

Victoria owns I believe 10% of Banyan’s shares. Those likely will be sold by the receivership’s trustees.

 

Tara Christie, CEO, tells me, “I will have no problem placing that block. Many will miss this share price opportunity waiting.”

 

Victoria and its Eagle Gold Mine is seen by some professional miners as still capable of a restart. Still, I will not go near any entity that takes it over until Yukon government states policy regarding heap leaches and sheds any notion of operational duties.
I lost a sizeable amount of money on my VGCX and as stated here this summer sold before a once again too hasty delisting of the Canada stock.

 

I continue to stay in touch with former CEO and President John McConnell and his Eagle Gold Mine’s former team.

 

I hope to recoup some of the losses with Banyan Gold and its 7 million-ounce resource in Yukon, some 60 kilometers by road from Eagle. Tara Christie and John McConnell are married.

 

Other long-term, sizeable holdings? We have owned DHT Maritime DHT (NYSE) for 3-plus years, maybe four; EMX ROYALTY EMX (NYSE) for 8 or 9 years; Aberdeen Platinum Trust PPLT (NYSE); Sprott Physical Gold & Silver Trust CEF (NYSE).
Several uranium-cos are in the mix: see The Calandra Report for those please.
Plus, another one from Gold Forum Americas just in this week from Colorado Springs:

Several pre-resource gold explorers — again, from Kristie Batten.

— Thom Calandra
PayPal $229 Yearly Non-Recurring The Calandra Report
 

Thom Calandra ​is a ​writer and an investor. Research and material are meant as editorial opinion.​ He is not a professional investment adviser. Please do not consider his reporting as a recommendation to buy or sell securities.